Following the incident at former President Donald Trump’s rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, betting odds for the 2024 US presidential election have shifted notably. Pool reporters at the rally reported hearing “a series of loud explosions or loud bangs” before Secret Service agents quickly escorted Trump offstage.
“The Secret Service went and immediately covered President Trump,” according to the pool report. “Pool heard residual bangs afterward.”
“Agents grabbed Trump, who was seen waving his fists in the air,” the pool report added.
Trump’s Chances Slightly Increase, Biden’s Drop Significantly After Pennsylvania Rally Incident – Odds
Before the incident, the odds for Donald Trump to win the election were at 1.44, while Kamala Harris’s odds were at 1.1. This change reflects a minor decrease in Trump’s implied probability of winning, from approximately 55% to 64.5%.
Betting Now Open for 2024 US Presidential Election
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Betting Odds: Trump Favorite to Win
Current betting odds favor Donald Trump as the likely winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election. Before the incident in Pennsylvania, Trump’s odds were at -225, indicating a probability of approximately 69.23%. Following the incident, his odds slightly improved to -200, with a probability of around 66.67%. Meanwhile, Joe Biden’s odds dropped significantly from +600 to +550, reflecting a decreased probability from approximately 14.29% to 15.38%. This shift underscores a strengthening position for Trump and a weakening one for Biden in the betting markets.
Odds for the 2024 US Presidential Election according to various bookmakers:
| Candidate | Bet365 | Sky Bet | Paddy Power | William Hill | 888sport | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 1.1 | 1.21 | 1.22 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Kamala Harris | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.05 | 1.0 |
| Michelle Obama | 75 | 75 | 65 | 66 | 66 | 88 |
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